22 Mar 2019 -

Chief Forecaster

Long Range Forecast

Issued from the Met Office
at 04:00 GMT on Friday, 22nd March 2019

UK Outlook for Tuesday 26 Mar 2019 to Thursday 4 Apr 2019

High pressure is expected to dominate at first, bringing largely settled weather with bright or sunny spells. However, weak fronts may bring more cloud and some rain to the far north where it will remain breezier. Patchy overnight frosts are likely but there should be a gradually warming trend for daytime temperatures. High pressure should gradually lose its influence towards the end of March. Southern and southeastern areas will remain mostly fine, though with some fog. Spells of rain and stronger winds are likely to spread from the northwest into central areas. Temperatures are generally expected to continue to rise, becoming very warm for some, whilst in the northwest they will remain nearer normal. Further frontal systems are expected to push in from the Atlantic for the start of April.

UK Outlook for Friday 5 Apr 2019 to Friday 19 Apr 2019

At the start of this period it looks most likely that we will see changeable conditions as spells of wet and windy weather spread from the west. Towards the middle of the month confidence is low; however there is a possibility that we may see a return of more widely settled and drier weather. Some wetter interludes are still possible, particularly in the northwest, and also showers perhaps coming up from the south at times. Temperatures are likely to remain above normal throughout.


Ensemble Forecasts

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precipitation-21


Forecast Information

Based on the latest output from various weather models, expert opinion and analysis by the Met Office, the long weather forecast provides guidance on expected weather conditions across the British Isles for the next 30 days.

The forecast provides useful information on the possible conditions. However, science, as yet, does not allow specific detail on, for example, the number of nights of frost, days of rain or snow. Nor will it highlight when specifically within the period any severe weather may occur.

Ensembles forecasts shown are from the latest run of the GFS computer model for Chelmsford. Apart from showing confidence levels in the short and medium range, it gives a guide of expected temperatures (minimum and maximum) and rainfall over the next two weeks.

This data is provided under licence and updated daily, normally early morning.

Weather Advisories
National Weather Forecast