10 Apr 2020 -

Long Range Forecast

Issued from the Met Office
at 04:00 BST on Friday, 10th April 2020

UK Outlook for Tuesday 14 Apr 2020 to Thursday 23 Apr 2020

The beginning of this period should see fine and settled conditions continue, with a potential for some showers towards the south and west of the UK. Temperatures are likely to become warmer again through the first half of the week with some patchy frost overnight. Looking further ahead, it is likely that the drier weather will continue, however, there may be spells of wet and windy weather at times. These more changeable periods are most likely across southern England, with northwestern areas seeing the best of the drier conditions. Temperatures are likely to see a large day and night variation, with mild days giving way to chilly nights and a risk of frost in the north.

UK Outlook for Friday 24 Apr 2020 to Friday 8 May 2020

Although confidence is low during this time period, the most probable scenario is that dry weather should dominate, with some interludes of more changeable weather at times. Towards the end of the period, there appears to be some signals that it may be more unsettled towards the north of the UK, with drier weather to the south. Temperatures are likely to vary around the average or even slightly above, with some large variations between day and night.


Ensemble Forecasts

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Forecast Information

Based on the latest output from various weather models, expert opinion and analysis by the Met Office, the long weather forecast provides guidance on expected weather conditions across the British Isles for the next 30 days.

The forecast provides useful information on the possible conditions. However, science, as yet, does not allow specific detail on, for example, the number of nights of frost, days of rain or snow. Nor will it highlight when specifically within the period any severe weather may occur.

Ensembles forecasts shown are from the latest run of the GFS computer model for Chelmsford. Apart from showing confidence levels in the short and medium range, it gives a guide of expected temperatures (minimum and maximum) and rainfall over the next two weeks.

This data is provided under licence and updated daily, normally early morning.

Weather Advisories
National Weather Forecast