25 May 2019 -

Chief Forecaster

Long Range Forecast

Issued from the Met Office
at 04:00 BST on Saturday, 25th May 2019

UK Outlook for Wednesday 29 May 2019 to Friday 7 Jun 2019

Through the latter half of next week, there will be changeable weather with a mixture of sunshine and showers likely on most days, although there may be a few periods of longer lasting rain. The best of the drier and sunnier weather is likely to be in the south and east, although there is a chance of windier conditions in the south too. Into the following week, the weather may become more settled with high pressure more likely. This would bring mainly dry conditions, with sunny spells for most, although there may be more in the way of cloud and showers in eastern areas. Given generally low confidence in the forecast at this stage, there may also be some more changeable weather with cloud, wind and rain.

UK Outlook for Saturday 8 Jun 2019 to Saturday 22 Jun 2019

The general trend for this period is currently for a more settled picture across the UK. However, there remains the potential for further areas of low pressure to bring spells of rain or showers at times with some stronger winds. Confidence is low by mid June but the most likely scenario is that overall more settled weather is likely to prevail. Temperatures will start a little below normal, slowly becoming a little warmer.


Ensemble Forecasts

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Forecast Information

Based on the latest output from various weather models, expert opinion and analysis by the Met Office, the long weather forecast provides guidance on expected weather conditions across the British Isles for the next 30 days.

The forecast provides useful information on the possible conditions. However, science, as yet, does not allow specific detail on, for example, the number of nights of frost, days of rain or snow. Nor will it highlight when specifically within the period any severe weather may occur.

Ensembles forecasts shown are from the latest run of the GFS computer model for Chelmsford. Apart from showing confidence levels in the short and medium range, it gives a guide of expected temperatures (minimum and maximum) and rainfall over the next two weeks.

This data is provided under licence and updated daily, normally early morning.

Weather Advisories
National Weather Forecast